Tropical Storm Jerry Strengthens While Coastal Storm Develops

Turbulent ocean waters during a tropical storm

Charleston, South Carolina, October 10, 2025

News Summary

Tropical Storm Jerry is strengthening and is expected to become a low-category hurricane, impacting the Leeward Islands and the Southeast U.S. coast with large swells. A separate non-tropical coastal storm is also projected to bring significant weather challenges, including strong winds and heavy rainfall to South Carolina’s Lowcountry and Grand Strand. Flash flooding and coastal flooding risks are heightened due to the combination of Jerry’s effects and king tides, prompting a Coastal Flood Watch in Charleston and surrounding areas.

Charleston, South Carolina – Tropical Storm Jerry has strengthened as it is currently located several hundred miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands. The storm is on track to become a low-category hurricane by Friday night, with projections indicating it will reach a Category 1 intensity. As of Thursday night, Jerry was moving west-northwest at 18.4 mph and is expected to pass near or just northeast of the Leeward Islands Thursday evening.

While Jerry is forecasted to turn north and remain well offshore, it may generate large swells that could impact the Southeast U.S. coast early next week. In addition to Jerry, a separate non-tropical coastal storm is developing off the Southeast coast. This storm is anticipated to bring significant weather impacts over the weekend, including strong winds and widespread rain, particularly affecting South Carolina’s Lowcountry and Grand Strand regions.

Forecast and Impacts

The coastal storm, while non-tropical, will produce increased winds from Thursday night through Saturday morning, with gusts expected to range from 35 to 40 mph, and inland gusts may reach 30 to 35 mph. Rainfall amounts along the coast may be significant — reaching 1 to 2 inches overall, with localized areas in the Grand Strand possibly seeing totals of 2 to 4 inches. This heavy rain raises the risk for flash flooding in those regions.

Coastal Concerns

Coastal flooding is a major concern as it coincides with a “king tide” event following a recent full moon. The National Weather Service has issued a Coastal Flood Watch for Charleston and coastal Colleton counties, effective until midday Friday. Hazardous marine conditions are forecasted along the Grand Strand through early Sunday, including gale-force winds and seas that may reach up to 9 feet, prompting a Gale Warning and Small Craft Advisory in effect for the Lowcountry. A High Surf Advisory is also active through Saturday night, warning of strong rip currents at local beaches.

Expected Conditions

Forecasters predict that by Sunday, sunny skies will return to most areas in South Carolina. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is meanwhile monitoring a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic moving west at 23 mph, indicating a 10% chance of formation within the next week.

Current Status of Jerry

As of Thursday night, Jerry had maximum sustained winds near 60 mph and was moving northwest at 17 mph. Tropical storm warnings have been issued for several Caribbean islands, where rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are expected. Concerns about coastal flooding and storm surge risks persist due to the combination of Jerry’s effects and the king tides.

Hurricane Season Overview

The current hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30, has been relatively quiet, with only 10 named storms reported thus far. Of these, only one has made landfall in the U.S.

Summary of Key Features

Feature Description
Tropical Storm Jerry Currently located several hundred miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands
Forecasted Strength Expected to reach a low-category hurricane by Friday night
Coastal Storm Non-tropical storm expected to produce wind and rain impacts in South Carolina
Rainfall Predictions 1 to 2 inches across coastal areas; localized 2 to 4 inches in the Grand Strand
Coastal Flood Watch Active for Charleston and coastal Colleton counties until midday Friday
Marine Conditions Gale Warning and Small Craft Advisory in effect for the Lowcountry
Hurricane Season Status 10 named storms to date, with only one making landfall in the U.S.

FAQ

What is the location of Tropical Storm Jerry?

Tropical Storm Jerry is currently located several hundred miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands.

What is the forecast for Tropical Storm Jerry?

Jerry is forecasted to become a low-category hurricane by Friday night, expected to reach a Category 1 intensity.

What is the expected impact of the non-tropical coastal storm?

This coastal storm will produce strong winds, widespread rain, and potential coastal flooding, particularly in South Carolina’s Lowcountry and Grand Strand regions.

How much rainfall is expected in the coastal regions?

Rainfall across the coastal regions may reach 1 to 2 inches, with localized areas in the Grand Strand seeing totals of 2 to 4 inches, leading to flash flooding risks.

What are the marine conditions along the Grand Strand?

Hazardous marine conditions are expected along the Grand Strand through early Sunday, with gale-force winds and seas up to 9 feet, leading to a Gale Warning and Small Craft Advisory in effect for the Lowcountry.

What does the current hurricane season look like?

The current hurricane season, running from June 1 to November 30, has been relatively quiet, with only 10 named storms so far, only one of which made landfall in the U.S.


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Author: STAFF HERE HILTON HEAD

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